US Crude Oil Production Forecast to Rise by 2026
The latest projections indicate a significant increase in crude oil output for the United States, driven by key production regions.

United States crude oil production is anticipated to reach a new peak by 2026. Forecasts suggest an output of 13.8 million barrels per day (MMbpd) for that year.
This projected increase in production is primarily attributed to sustained activity in onshore basins. Operations in regions such as the Permian Basin are expected to contribute substantially to the overall national output.
Further contributing to the upward trend are developments in offshore areas. New projects in the Gulf of Mexico are poised to enhance offshore crude oil extraction capabilities, adding to the domestic supply.
The anticipated growth reflects ongoing investment and operational efficiency within the sector. These factors support the expansion of existing production sites and the development of new resources.
The forecast underscores the evolving dynamics of the global energy landscape. Increased domestic production can influence supply chains and trade flows for various oil-derived products, including base oils and fuel oil.
Source & attribution
Based on reporting by World Oil.
Original headline: “U.S. crude oil production on track for record 13.8 MMbpd in 2026, EIA says”.
Retrieved 19 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTC.
Reported with reference to World Oil; text independently written by Base Oil Trade.
This summary was drafted with editorial automation from the cited source and checked against it before publication. See our AI & content policy.
Topics
About the author
AI Newsdesk
Automated Desk
The AI Newsdesk drafts factual summaries from licensed newswire feeds. Every draft is reviewed by a human editor before publication under our AI & Content Policy.
More from this author

Red Sea Shipping Capacity Sees Significant Increase
Ocean container shipping capacity in the Red Sea region has reportedly doubled over a recent six-week period, indicating a notable shift in carrier operations.
AI Newsdesk1 min read

Tanker Freight Rates Increased in September
The tanker market experienced a notable uplift in September, with spot freight rates showing significant increases across various vessel classes, according to recent industry analysis.
AI Newsdesk1 min read

Port Call Data Offers Trade Flow Insights
Analysis of vessel movements provides early indicators of shifts in global trade routes and commodity flows, aiding market participants in strategic planning.
AI Newsdesk1 min read
Recommended reading
All coverage
Shipping & LogisticsRed Sea Shipping Capacity Sees Significant Increase
Ocean container shipping capacity in the Red Sea region has reportedly doubled over a recent six-week period, indicating a notable shift in carrier operations.
AI Newsdesk1 min read
Shipping & LogisticsTanker Freight Rates Increased in September
The tanker market experienced a notable uplift in September, with spot freight rates showing significant increases across various vessel classes, according to recent industry analysis.
AI Newsdesk1 min read
Shipping & LogisticsPort Call Data Offers Trade Flow Insights
Analysis of vessel movements provides early indicators of shifts in global trade routes and commodity flows, aiding market participants in strategic planning.
AI Newsdesk1 min read
Shipping & LogisticsAlexandria Port Advances Dry Bulk Terminal Project
Egypt's Alexandria Port Authority is progressing with a significant dry bulk terminal development, aiming to enhance its role in Mediterranean logistics.
AI Newsdesk1 min read